Verdict
Preflop hand selection & action accuracy
Every preflop decision in the session was scored against Jeff Hwang’s Big Play Strategy framework: each starting hand is valued on pair equity, nut-flush/suit equity and straight-wrap connectedness, less dangler and dead-card penalties, then sorted into five playability tiers. Your action is compared with what the framework prescribes for that effective seat and that facing-action.
Errors are weighted by cost. Playing a hand the framework folds scores 0; folding too tight or limping a hand that should raise scores 0.5, because those are the cheaper mistakes. The strict match figure above is the unweighted exact-match rate.
The read: hand selection is sound — you fold 98.7% of trash and play 93.3% of premiums, which is what holds the score up. Hand actions are the leak: too passive with the top of your range, too loose from the small blind. Tightening the SB to roughly your cutoff opening tier and simply raising every KK+ would put this near 95%.
By Spot
Accuracy by action faced
Reactive decisions are strong — you are near-flawless once someone else has put money in. Almost all the loss sits in unopened pots, where you choose the range rather than respond to one.
By Position
Accuracy by effective seat
Seats are graded by effective position — players left to act behind you — not the raw label, since these tables ran 2 to 7 handed and a 4-handed “UTG” is really a cutoff. The small blind is the weak seat.
Error Profile
Where the points go
The most expensive leak is playing hands the framework folds — and half of it sits in one seat. Eight of the sixteen loose plays are the small blind, five of them continuing against a raise, out of position, with speculative hands like 7d 3d 7s 5s and 4s 6s 8c 7h. Those need position or a pair to be worth a flop.
The more interesting leak is the opposite one. VPIP 20.8% against PFR 7.5% is a 13-point gap: you fold and limp genuinely strong hands. Four separate KKxx hands were folded or limped, plus two QQxx — and Ac Ad 7c Ks was limped on the button. Of 39 premium hands dealt, 9 were not raised.
The Tiers
How hands are graded
- T1Premium. Raise and 3-bet from any seat.
AAxxwith a suit or connector,KKxxdouble-suited, high double-suited rundowns. - T2Strong. Open from any seat, continue against a raise. Big pairs with support, mid rundowns double-suited.
- T3Speculative. Needs late position, a multiway pot, or a big-blind price to be worth playing.
- T4Marginal. Button steal or a free big-blind flop only.
- T5Trash. Fold. Danglers, non-nut suits, disconnected low cards, dead trips.
Discipline
How often you played each tier
| Tier | Dealt | Played | Play rate |
|---|
A clean monotonic ladder — the better the hand, the more you play it, with almost no trash entering the pot. The soft spot is T2 at 50%: half your strong hands never see a flop.
Every Decision
All 346 preflop spots, filterable
| Hand | Tier | Val | Shape | Seat | Facing | Played | Hwang | Grade | Reasoning |
|---|
Method & Caveats
How to read this page
Hwang’s book gives categories and principles, not a hand-by-hand chart. The tier thresholds and positional opening ranges here are one calibration of his framework. The relative rankings are faithful to him; the exact cutoff between, say, a tier-3 and a tier-4 hand is a judgment call. Treat the error patterns as the signal and the percentage as an index, not a solver verdict.
Preflop only — hand selection and the chosen action. Raise sizing, postflop play and opponent tendencies are not scored. 346 of 355 hands produced a preflop decision; the other 9 folded through without action on Hero. Position, action and facing-raise detection were audited against the raw histories.
Hands are valued as pair equity + suit equity + connectedness − penalties. Pair equity scales steeply (AA = 10 down to 22 = 0.5). Suit equity rewards the nut suit (2.5) far above a low suit (1.0), with a bonus for double-suited and a discount for a redundant third card of a suit. Connectedness sums every two-card straight combination, weighted up for nut-end broadway cards and down for bottom-end traps, with the ace counted both high and low for wheel value. Danglers cost 1.5; trips cost 3.0 for the dead card.